Confidence is calibrated to the engine’s real win rate.
The HOLD signal for Avalanche is driven by a combination of neutral momentum, indicated by a recent momentum factor of +1.1%, and moderate volume/turnover, with 4.1% of the market capitalization traded in the last 24 hours, suggesting a lack of strong conviction in the market. The volatility, measured by an average true range of 0.79% per bar, has set a stop loss at 2.8% and a target at 1.5 times the risk, indicating a cautious approach to potential price movements. The overall neutral sentiment and mixed trend agreement further support the HOLD signal, as the market is not showing a clear direction, with the price trading below key moving averages and the RSI at a neutral level of 49.
Every input behind the call, shown in the open.
Trend filter (EMA100)
price below EMA100 — shorts allowed
RSI (14)
RSI 49 — neutral
MACD (12,26,9)
bullish crossover
MA Trend (9/21)
below trend (downtrend)
EMA Cross (9/15)
EMA9 below EMA15 (downtrend)
Bollinger (20,2σ)
mid-band
How these combine into a signal is documented on the methodology page — trend indicators outvote oscillators, and thin liquidity is never rated.
Every rated signal the engine issued on Avalanche, followed to its real outcome — not a backtest, and not cherry-picked.
30
Signals closed
43%
Win rate
-3.0R
Net result
| Signal | Outcome | Result | Opened | Closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY | Expired | +0.0R | Jul 10 | Jul 10 |
| BUY | Expired | +0.0R | Jul 10 | Jul 10 |
| BUY | Expired | +0.1R | Jul 10 | Jul 10 |
| BUY | Expired | +0.1R | Jul 10 | Jul 10 |
| BUY | Expired | -0.1R | Jul 9 | Jul 10 |
| BUY | Expired | -0.0R | Jul 9 | Jul 9 |
| BUY | Expired | -0.1R | Jul 9 | Jul 9 |
| SELL | Expired | -0.3R | Jul 8 | Jul 9 |
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