Track Record

Our signals, unedited

Every signal the engine issues is logged and tracked forward to its real outcome — wins and losses alike. Below is the live record plus the full backtest of the same engine: win rate, profit factor, drawdown and whether our confidence scores are honest.

830 backtested trades · updated Aug 3, 2026

Live Track Record
LIVE

Real signals the engine has issued — tracked forward to their actual outcome, not a backtest.

366

Signals issued

44%

Live win rate

-0.02R

Avg result

10

Open now

CoinSignalTFStatusResultIssued
XRP
BUY4H
Open
3w ago
XRP
BUY4H
Expired
+0.0R3w ago
ADA
SELL4H
Open
3w ago
GOgoldBUY1D
Open
3w ago
AVAX
BUY4H
Open
3w ago
TRX
BUY4H
Open
3w ago
ADA
SELL4H
Expired
+0.1R3w ago
AVAX
BUY4H
Expired
+0.0R3w ago
GOgoldSELL1D
Expired
-0.5R3w ago
SIsilverSELL4H
Open
3w ago
AVAX
BUY4H
Expired
+0.0R3w ago
AVAX
BUY4H
Expired
+0.1R3w ago

Outcomes are marked at the 15-minute scan price (not intrabar), so fills are conservative. Live results are independent of the backtest below.

Backtested track record

— historical simulation on real candles

Win Rate

35.9%

share of trades that hit target

Profit Factor

0.87

gross profit ÷ gross loss

Net Result

-65.1R

total profit in risk units

Max Drawdown

84.8R

worst peak-to-trough dip

Equity Curve

How an account following every signal would have grown, in risk units (R).

Cumulative profit in R (risk units) across all backtested trades — -66.3R total. 1R = the amount risked per trade.

By Timeframe

The edge is strongest on 1D (profit factor 0.96). Higher timeframes filter out noise.

TimeframeTradesWin %Avg RProfit FactorNet R
1H24432.4%-0.1800.72-43.8R
4H28338.5%-0.0500.92-14.1R
1D30336.3%-0.0240.96-7.2R

Are our confidence scores honest?

We calibrate the confidence % to the real win rate. When we say a signal is ~45%, it historically wins ~45% — verified below.

Shown 30–40%31.7% actual · 82 trades
Shown 40–44%34.1% actual · 490 trades
Shown 44–47%40.7% actual · 258 trades

A ~45% win rate is profitable here because winners are larger than losers — the average trade still nets a positive return (profit factor 0.87). Confidence measures how often a call is right; risk/reward does the rest.

Methodology

  • No lookahead. Each signal is computed only from candles up to the decision bar; exits are checked on later bars.
  • Conservative fills. When a bar touches both stop and target, the stop is assumed to hit first.
  • Real data. 830 trades over 1,000 candles per market on 5 assets (bitcoin, ethereum, solana, ripple, dogecoin), via Binance.
  • Same engine. The backtest runs the exact production signal engine — what you see live is what was tested.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Backtests can over-fit and exclude slippage, fees and funding. This is research tooling, not financial advice.

See the signals behind these numbers

Create a free account to get live Buy / Sell / Hold signals with the same engine — confidence scores, entries, stops and targets included.