Every signal the engine issues is logged and tracked forward to its real outcome — wins and losses alike. Below is the live record plus the full backtest of the same engine: win rate, profit factor, drawdown and whether our confidence scores are honest.
Real signals the engine has issued — tracked forward to their actual outcome, not a backtest.
366
Signals issued
44%
Live win rate
-0.02R
Avg result
10
Open now
| Coin | Signal | TF | Status | Result | Issued |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
✕ XRP | BUY | 4H | Open | — | 12w ago |
✕ XRP | BUY | 4H | Expired | +0.0R | 12w ago |
₳ ADA | SELL | 4H | Open | — | 12w ago |
| GOgold | BUY | 1D | Open | — | 12w ago |
▲ AVAX | BUY | 4H | Open | — | 12w ago |
▽ TRX | BUY | 4H | Open | — | 12w ago |
₳ ADA | SELL | 4H | Expired | +0.1R | 12w ago |
▲ AVAX | BUY | 4H | Expired | +0.0R | 12w ago |
| GOgold | SELL | 1D | Expired | -0.5R | 12w ago |
| SIsilver | SELL | 4H | Open | — | 12w ago |
▲ AVAX | BUY | 4H | Expired | +0.0R | 12w ago |
▲ AVAX | BUY | 4H | Expired | +0.1R | 12w ago |
Outcomes are marked at the 15-minute scan price (not intrabar), so fills are conservative. Live results are independent of the backtest below.
Win Rate
38.4%
share of trades that hit target
Profit Factor
1.01
gross profit ÷ gross loss
Net Result
+7.3R
total profit in risk units
Max Drawdown
24.5R
worst peak-to-trough dip
How an account following every signal would have grown, in risk units (R).
Cumulative profit in R (risk units) across all backtested trades — +5.5R total. 1R = the amount risked per trade.
The edge is strongest on 4H (profit factor 1.14). Higher timeframes filter out noise.
| Timeframe | Trades | Win % | Avg R | Profit Factor | Net R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1H | 307 | 35.8% | -0.053 | 0.92 | -16.2R |
| 4H | 357 | 43.1% | +0.079 | 1.14 | +28.4R |
| 1D | 281 | 35.2% | -0.018 | 0.97 | -4.9R |
We calibrate the confidence % to the real win rate. When we say a signal is ~45%, it historically wins ~45% — verified below.
A ~45% win rate is profitable here because winners are larger than losers — the average trade still nets a positive return (profit factor 1.01). Confidence measures how often a call is right; risk/reward does the rest.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Backtests can over-fit and exclude slippage, fees and funding. This is research tooling, not financial advice.
Create a free account to get live Buy / Sell / Hold signals with the same engine — confidence scores, entries, stops and targets included.