Every signal the engine issues is logged and tracked forward to its real outcome — wins and losses alike. Below is the live record plus the full backtest of the same engine: win rate, profit factor, drawdown and whether our confidence scores are honest.
Real signals the engine has issued — tracked forward to their actual outcome, not a backtest.
366
Signals issued
44%
Live win rate
-0.02R
Avg result
10
Open now
| Coin | Signal | TF | Status | Result | Issued |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
✕ XRP | BUY | 4H | Open | — | 3w ago |
✕ XRP | BUY | 4H | Expired | +0.0R | 3w ago |
₳ ADA | SELL | 4H | Open | — | 3w ago |
| GOgold | BUY | 1D | Open | — | 3w ago |
▲ AVAX | BUY | 4H | Open | — | 3w ago |
▽ TRX | BUY | 4H | Open | — | 3w ago |
₳ ADA | SELL | 4H | Expired | +0.1R | 3w ago |
▲ AVAX | BUY | 4H | Expired | +0.0R | 3w ago |
| GOgold | SELL | 1D | Expired | -0.5R | 3w ago |
| SIsilver | SELL | 4H | Open | — | 3w ago |
▲ AVAX | BUY | 4H | Expired | +0.0R | 3w ago |
▲ AVAX | BUY | 4H | Expired | +0.1R | 3w ago |
Outcomes are marked at the 15-minute scan price (not intrabar), so fills are conservative. Live results are independent of the backtest below.
Win Rate
35.9%
share of trades that hit target
Profit Factor
0.87
gross profit ÷ gross loss
Net Result
-65.1R
total profit in risk units
Max Drawdown
84.8R
worst peak-to-trough dip
How an account following every signal would have grown, in risk units (R).
Cumulative profit in R (risk units) across all backtested trades — -66.3R total. 1R = the amount risked per trade.
The edge is strongest on 1D (profit factor 0.96). Higher timeframes filter out noise.
| Timeframe | Trades | Win % | Avg R | Profit Factor | Net R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1H | 244 | 32.4% | -0.180 | 0.72 | -43.8R |
| 4H | 283 | 38.5% | -0.050 | 0.92 | -14.1R |
| 1D | 303 | 36.3% | -0.024 | 0.96 | -7.2R |
We calibrate the confidence % to the real win rate. When we say a signal is ~45%, it historically wins ~45% — verified below.
A ~45% win rate is profitable here because winners are larger than losers — the average trade still nets a positive return (profit factor 0.87). Confidence measures how often a call is right; risk/reward does the rest.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Backtests can over-fit and exclude slippage, fees and funding. This is research tooling, not financial advice.
Create a free account to get live Buy / Sell / Hold signals with the same engine — confidence scores, entries, stops and targets included.