Confidence is calibrated to the engine’s real win rate.
The HOLD signal for Chainlink is based on a balance of factors, with recent momentum at +0.4% indicating a slight upward push, but not strong enough to override the cautious stance given the low volume/turnover of 2.8% of the market cap traded in the last 24 hours, which suggests a lack of conviction from traders. The volatility, measured at 0.66% per-bar ATR, has set a stop at 2.3% and a target at 2.3R, which suggests that while there is potential for movement, the risk is also notable. Overall, the combination of these factors, particularly the modest momentum and low trading volume, leads to a cautious approach, resulting in a HOLD signal at 45% confidence.
Every input behind the call, shown in the open.
Trend filter (EMA100)
price below EMA100 — shorts allowed
RSI (14)
RSI 50 — neutral
MACD (12,26,9)
bullish crossover
MA Trend (9/21)
above trend (uptrend)
EMA Cross (9/15)
EMA9 above EMA15 (uptrend)
Bollinger (20,2σ)
mid-band
How these combine into a signal is documented on the methodology page — trend indicators outvote oscillators, and thin liquidity is never rated.
Every rated signal the engine issued on Chainlink, followed to its real outcome — not a backtest, and not cherry-picked.
26
Signals closed
46%
Win rate
+0.1R
Net result
| Signal | Outcome | Result | Opened | Closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SELL | Expired | -0.7R | Jul 9 | Jul 10 |
| SELL | Expired | +0.0R | Jul 9 | Jul 9 |
| SELL | Expired | +0.0R | Jul 9 | Jul 9 |
| SELL | Expired | -0.0R | Jul 8 | Jul 9 |
| BUY | Stopped | -1.0R | Jul 7 | Jul 8 |
| BUY | Expired | +0.2R | Jul 6 | Jul 7 |
| BUY | Expired | +0.1R | Jul 6 | Jul 6 |
| BUY | Expired | +0.1R | Jul 6 | Jul 6 |
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